PART I.

JAPAN AND THE PACIFIC.

England and Asia-The Persian war-The Chinese war -Russian diplomacy in China-Singapore and Hong Kong - Labuan and Port Hamilton Position of Japan; its resources—, -Importance of Chinese alliance to England - Strength of English position in the Pacific at present-Possible danger from Russia through Mongolia and Manchooria-Japan the key of the Pacific; her area and people; her rapid development; her favourable position; effect of Panama Canal on her commerce-, --England's route to the East by the Canadian Pacific Railway-Japanese manufactures-Rivalry of Germany and England in the South Pacific -Imperial Federation for England and her coloniesImportance of island of Formosa-Comparative progress of Russia and England-The coming struggle.

WITHOUT doubt the Pacific will in the coming century be the platform of commercial and political enterprise. This truth, however, escapes the eyes of ninety-nine out of a hundred, just as did the importance of Eastern

Europe in 1790, and of Central Asia in 1857. In the former case England did not appreciate the danger of a Russian aggression of Turkey, and so Pitt's intervention in the Turkish Question failed. It was otherwise in the second half of the nineteenth century, when the Crimean War and the Berlin Congress proved great events in English history. In 1857 the national feeling in England was not aroused as to the importance of defending Persia from foreign attack. Lord Palmerston had written to Lord Clarendon, Feb. 17, 1857, "It is quite true, as you say, that people in general are disposed to think lightly of our Persian War, that is to say, not enough to see the importance of the question at issue." How strongly does the Afghan question attract the public attention of England at the present day?

It is very evident that in 1857 very few in England were awake to the vital importance of withstanding Russian inroads into the far East, viz., the Pacific.

After defeating Russia miserably in the Crimean War and driving her back at the

Balkans by the Treaty of Paris, Lord Palmerston's mind was now revolving and discussing the following serious thought: "Where would Russia stretch out her hands next?"

I think I am not wrong in stating the following as Lord Palmerston's solution of the problem :

(a) That Russia was about to strike the English interests at Afghanistan by an alliance with Persia,

(b) That she would attack the Afghan frontier single-handed.

(c) That an alliance would be formed with the Chinese, and a combined hostility against Britain would be shown by both.

(d) She would extend her Siberian territory to the Pacific on the north, thereby obtaining a seaport on that ocean's coast, and make it an outpost for undermining English influence in Southern China.

Therefore in 1856 Lord Palmerston declared war against Persia remarking that are beginning to reveal the first

" we

openings of trenches against India by Russia." I

This policy proved a winning one. The Indian Mutiny of 1857, however, scarcely gave Palmerston time to mature his Afghan Frontier scheme, consequently his views with regard to that country were to a great extent frustrated by Russia.

In the autumn of 1856, the Arrow dispute gave Palmerston his long-wished for opportunity of gaining a stronghold in the South. China Sea. He declared war on China. The causes of this dispute on the English side were morally unjust and legally untenable. Cobden brought forward a resolution to this effect that "The paper laid on the table failed to establish satisfactory grounds for the violent measure resorted to." Disraeli, Russell, and Graham all supported Cobden's mction. Mr. Gladstone, who was also in favour of the motion, said, at the conclusion of his speech, “with every one of us it rests to show that this House, which is the first,

1 Lord Palmerston's letter to Lord Clarendon, Feb. 17, 1857.